server is no korrekt i get all matches never same gegner 6666 4444 5555v 22233333
double is kill my points
Posted in
Backgammon
double is kill my points
server is no korrekt i get all matches never same gegner 6666 4444 5555v 22233333
just had exactly the same sequence against me one - maybe random twice - very unlikely three times - cannot be explained by random
And again - this time all during the final take off to hand the opponent the game on a plate
And again - four doubles in the take off alone given that the probablity of a double in backgammon is slightly less than one in six Although the occasional run of doubles is possible - albeit unlikely - I should be seeing a run of four doubles every thousand games or so.
"I should be seeing a run of four doubles every thousand games or so." This assumption is simply wrong according to probability theories.
Probability of four consecutive doubles :- 1/6 X 1/6 X 1/6 X 1/6 = 1 / 1296 Are you saying that this equates to four doubles being a frequent occurance?
I am saying that one "turn" is not equivalent to one "game". So you should see four doubles in a row more frequently than one in 1296 _games_.
Depending on how many turns are there in the games, there should be one row of four doubles in around 40-50 games. So you should see one in two days if you are playing 20 games a day, or one in 4-5 days if you are playing 10 games per day. Which is more or less acceptable for you based on your forum posts. Any other probability questions that I could help with?